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World Cup

Jamaica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Wiener Neustadter Stadion
Dominican Republic national football team

Jamaica
1 - 0
Dominican Rep.

Nicholson (16')
Lowe (45+3'), Johnson (52'), Hector (67'), Waite (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vasquez (45+1'), Morschel (54'), de Lucas (72'), Carlos Lopez (72'), Carlos Lopez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 4-1 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, March 27 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
JamaicaDrawDominican Republic
52.11% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)23.37% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)50.19% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.15% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)36.13% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (-0.102 -0.1)72.92% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 52.1%
    Dominican Republic 23.37%
    Draw 24.52%
JamaicaDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Dominican Rep.

Jamaica
71.9%
Draw
21.9%
Dominican Republic
6.3%
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