Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 3.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 4-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for a Burnei win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.