Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.