Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Lom (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

Cuba

All competitions

Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 21 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
67.27% ( 0.11)	19.79% ( -0.06)	12.94% ( -0.05)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 67.26%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.94%

Guatemala1 - 0Cuba