Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
