Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
