Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
