CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 17, 2025 at 3am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

Jamaica
0 - 1
Guatemala

(Guatemala win 5-1 on aggregate)

Lowe (19')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Santis (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Last Game: Jamaica 2-2 Nigeria
Saturday, May 31 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: British Virgin I. vs. Jamaica
Saturday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Guatemala
Sunday, June 1 at 1am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Guatemala vs. Dominican Rep.
Saturday, June 7 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jamaica win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Guatemala has a probability of 31.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Guatemala win is 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Guatemala
43.12%	25.85%	31.02%

Both teams to score 53.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.35%

50.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44%

72.56%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64%

23.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68%

57.32%

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68%

30.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49%

66.5%

Score Analysis

Jamaica 43.11%

Guatemala 31.02%

Draw 25.85%

Jamaica	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.11%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.02%