FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 2pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
6 - 2
QPR

Justin (8', 63'), Mavididi (35'), Buonanotte (38'), Vardy (51' pen.), Faes (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Varane (18'), Kolli (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leicester City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
47.1% ( 0.17)	25% ( -0.05)	27.89% ( -0.12)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Leicester City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.89%