Olympiacos will be regarded as first favourites to come out on top in this two-legged tie and they should have few problems taking control of Thursday's first leg, especially if they rediscover their form in front of goal against a Cukaricki side who have conceded six goals in their last three matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
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