Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.