Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.