Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Astana had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.