Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Basel and Qarabag FK.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
