Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
