Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jerv win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jerv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.