With injuries piling up and other players unable to take the field on Wednesday for administrative reasons, this third-round tie has all the makings of a miserable evening for the Potters.
An injection of confidence would do Bournemouth the world of good right now, and we expect the Cherries to get it during a resounding success on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
-0.93) 
1.07) 
