Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
