Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.