Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.