Curacao national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Saint Lucia national football team

Curacao
4 - 1
St Lucia

Kastaneer (27', 27', 30', 30'), Bacuna (73', 73', 79', 79')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Charles (28', 28')
Doxilly (50'), Doxilly (50')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Curacao and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-5 Curacao
Friday, November 15 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Grenada
Friday, November 15 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
CuracaoDrawSaint Lucia
56.28% (-0.206 -0.21)22.72% (0.23 0.23)21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.795 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (-1.042 -1.04)45.24% (1.042 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (-1.003 -1)67.58% (1.004 1)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.431 -0.43)15.88% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.799 -0.8)45.11% (0.8 0.8)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)35.62% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.638 -0.64)72.39% (0.63900000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Curacao 56.27%
    Saint Lucia 21%
    Draw 22.72%
CuracaoDrawSaint Lucia
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 56.27%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21%

How you voted: Curacao vs St Lucia

Curacao
100%
Draw
0.0%
Saint Lucia
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 10pm
League B
St Lucia
2-1
Curacao
Jude-Boyd (24'), Elva (55')
Doxilly (64')
Brenet (63')
Gaari (29'), Bacuna (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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