CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 18, 2024 at 11pm UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curacao
4 - 1
St Lucia

Kastaneer (27', 27', 30', 30'), Bacuna (73', 73', 79', 79')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Charles (28', 28')
Doxilly (50'), Doxilly (50')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Curacao and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Martin 0-5 Curacao
Friday, November 15 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Saint Lucia

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Grenada
Friday, November 15 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
Curacao	Draw	Saint Lucia
56.28% ( -0.21)	22.72% ( 0.23)	21% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

-1.04)

45.24% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

-1)

67.58% (

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

-0.43)

15.88% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.89% (

-0.8)

45.11% (

0.8)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.61)

35.62% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

-0.64)

72.39% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Curacao 56.27%

Saint Lucia 21%

Draw 22.72%

Curacao	Draw	Saint Lucia
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 56.27%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21%