CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 22, 2025 at 12am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Curacao
1 - 1
Canada

(Canada win 5-2 on aggregate)

Antonisse (90+4')
Bacuna (8'), Floranus (57'), Bacuna (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Saliba (9')
Miller (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Curacao and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Curacao vs. St Lucia
Saturday, June 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Canada

All competitions

Last Game: Canada 2-1 USA
Sunday, March 23 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Canada vs. Ukraine
Saturday, June 7 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Curacao win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Canada has a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Canada win it is 0-1 (6.35%).

Result
Curacao	Draw	Canada
57.09%	23.41%	19.5%

Both teams to score 49.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92%

50.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95%

72.05%

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68%

17.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.31%

47.69%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05%

39.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39%

76.61%

Score Analysis

Curacao 57.08%

Canada 19.5%

Draw 23.41%

Curacao	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 57.08%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.5%