Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.64%) and 0-3 (14.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.38%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.