Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia
0 - 2
Lecce
We said: Spezia 2-1 Lecce
Despite these two teams being a league apart, we expect an evenly-matched contest to play out on Thursday. While Lecce will fancy their chances of edging this contest, Spezia may just have enough in the tank to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
| 25.46% | 23.07% | 51.47% |
| Both teams to score 58.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
