Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
