Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
