Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
