Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | River Plate |
| 46.85% | 24.69% | 28.46% |
| Both teams to score 55.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
