Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.