Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.