Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Corinthians vs. Juventude
Saturday, June 11 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 5 | 17 |
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: C. Cordoba vs. Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 37.22% | 25.66% | 37.12% |
| Both teams to score 55.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
