Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 76.31%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 8.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.6%) and 0-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.