World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
2 - 2
Paraguay

Diaz (1', 1', 1'), Duran (13', 13', 13')
Diaz (81'), Diaz (81'), Diaz (81'), Campaz (89'), Campaz (89'), Campaz (89')

FT(HT: 6-3)

Alonso (45+4', 45+4', 45+4'), Enciso (62', 62', 62')
Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Fernandez Torres (85'), Fernandez Torres (85'), Fernandez Torres (85'), Velazquez (86'), Velazquez (86'), Velazquez (86'), Cubas (90+3'), Cubas (90+3'), Cubas (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
Friday, March 21 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Paraguay
64.25% ( -0.5)	22.46% ( 0.35)	13.29% ( 0.15)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Colombia	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.59% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.24%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.45%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 13.29%