Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
May 10, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Dalian University Stadium
Henan

Chengdu
4 - 2
Henan

Gurfinkel (5'), Chow (39'), Shihao (45+2'), Tang (90+5')
Yang (41'), Ruibao (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Nazario (21'), Covic (38')
Zichang (11'), Liu (45+4'), Nazario (56'), Zhao (90+1'), Boyuan (90+2')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Rongcheng and Henan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Chengdu
Sunday, May 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Henan had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.

Result
Chengdu RongchengDrawHenan
65.96% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)19.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)14.59% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.37% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)63.77% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Chengdu Rongcheng Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)11.71% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.18% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)36.82% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (0.155 0.16)40.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.66% (0.138 0.14)77.34% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Rongcheng 65.95%
    Henan 14.59%
    Draw 19.45%
Chengdu RongchengDrawHenan
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.45%
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.59%

Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 16
Chengdu
2-0
Henan
Chow (51'), Xin (68')

Mierzejewski (54'), Cao (73')
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Henan
1-1
Chengdu
Miao (28')
Dec 5, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Henan
0-1
Chengdu
Saldanha (90+9')
Sep 25, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 17
Chengdu
0-0
Henan
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua13102130121832
2Chengdu RongchengChengdu139312381530
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan1275028131526
4Shanghai PortShanghai Port1273226161024
5Shandong TaishanShandong136342823521
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen135442020019
7Yunnan Yukun135351921-218
8Qingdao Youth Island124532022-217
9Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang134452422216
10Dalian Zhixing133551321-814
11Meizhou Hakka133372028-812
12Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT123361524-912
13HenanHenan123271720-311
14Sichuan JiuniuSichuan123271225-1311
15Qingdao Hainiu131571319-68
16Changchun YataiChangchun1312101125-145


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