Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.