Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 40.45% | 25.05% | 34.5% |
| Both teams to score 57.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% | 46.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% | 68.47% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.63% | 56.38% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.09% | 60.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.89% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.37% Total : 34.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Burnley | 42 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
| 3 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 75 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 74 |
| 5 | Millwall | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 65 |
| 6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 64 |
| 7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 63 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 62 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 62 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 62 |
| 12 | Watford | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 59 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 53 |
| 15 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 53 |
| 16 | Hull City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 52 |
| 18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 45 |
| 20 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 21 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 44 |
| 22 | Reading | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 43 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 37 |
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