Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.