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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino

Virtus
1 - 7
FCSB

Battistini (86')
Golinucci (17'), Pupeschi (81')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Olaru (6' pen., 11', 37'), Popa (22', 27'), Miculescu (70', 73')
Kiki (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Virtus and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Virtus

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FCSB

All competitions
Last Game: Rapid Bucuresti 2-0 FCSB
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Virtus had a probability of 12.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Virtus win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.

Result
VirtusDrawFCSB
12.01% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)18.71% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)69.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)44.11% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-0.07 -0.07)66.49% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Virtus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (-0.142 -0.14)46.46% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (-0.108 -0.11)82.07% (0.111 0.11)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4%11.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Virtus 12.01%
    FCSB 69.28%
    Draw 18.71%
VirtusDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 3.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 12.01%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.71%
0-2 @ 12.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.98% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.84% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 69.28%

How you voted: Virtus vs FCSB

Virtus
20.5%
Draw
9.1%
FCSB
70.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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