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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Arena Nationala

FCSB
4 - 0
Virtus

Baluta (20'), Edjouma (28', 36'), Miculescu (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Buonocunto (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FCSB and Virtus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FCSB

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: FCSB 1-1 Universitatea Cluj
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Virtus

All competitions
Last Game: Virtus 1-7 FCSB
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Virtus had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Virtus win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for FCSB in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FCSB.

Result
FCSBDrawVirtus
66.26% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.83% (-0.026 -0.03)13.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.141 0.14)44.6% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.136 0.14)66.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)12.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34% (0.094000000000001 0.09)38.66% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Virtus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (0.106 0.11)43.74% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (0.087 0.09)79.91% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    FCSB 66.24%
    Virtus 13.91%
    Draw 19.83%
FCSBDrawVirtus
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 66.24%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.91%

How you voted: FCSB vs Virtus

FCSB
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
Virtus
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 8pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Virtus
1-7
FCSB
Battistini (86')
Golinucci (17'), Pupeschi (81')
Olaru (6' pen., 11', 37'), Popa (22', 27'), Miculescu (70', 73')
Kiki (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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