Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.