Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.