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World Cup

Cape Verde national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
Mauritius national football team

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Mauritius

Semedo (84')
Garcia (46'), Lopes (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(32'), Jordan Rayenne Francois (32'), Botlar (66')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Cape Verde and Mauritius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritius

Last Game: Hong Kong 1-0 Mauritius
Tuesday, November 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 8.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.63%) and 3-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.53%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawMauritius
72.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.92% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)8.09% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 33.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.37% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (0.014999999999997 0.01)76.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)13.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)41.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)91.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 72.97%
    Mauritius 8.09%
    Draw 18.92%
Cape VerdeDrawMauritius
1-0 @ 16.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 16.63%
3-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 8.09%
4-0 @ 5.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 72.97%
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 8.09%