CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Nov 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Canada
3 - 0
Suriname

(Canada win 4-0 on aggregate)

David (24', 24'), Shaffelburg (30', 30', 67', 67')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Vaessen (28'), Vaessen (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 0-1 Canada
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Suriname

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 0-1 Canada
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Suriname
29.01% ( -0.61)	24.76% ( -0.02)	46.23% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

-0.26)

46.94% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81% (

-0.24)

69.19% (

0.25)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.56)

29.85% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.69)

65.94% (

0.69)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.17)

20.37% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

0.27)

52.78% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Canada 29.01%

Suriname 46.23%

Draw 24.76%

Canada	Draw	Suriname
1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.23%