Canada
0 - 2
Mexico

Bombito (18'), Bombito (18'), Davies (22'), Davies (22'), Johnston (33'), Johnston (33')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jimenez (1', 1', 75', 75')
Vega (27'), Vega (27'), Vasquez (43'), Vasquez (43'), Reyes (71'), Reyes (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Canada 3-0 Suriname
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Mexico

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Wednesday, November 20 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Canada	Draw	Mexico
46.35% ( 0.44)	24.91% ( 0.15)	28.73% ( -0.59)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Canada	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.73%

Canada0 - 2Mexico