Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
