Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
