Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.