Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
