Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
