Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
